Rating: 
Summary: Ground Truth That Will Be Ignored
Review: This is a very thoughtful and well-documented book that has been 20 years in the making--although it was actually researched and written in the past three years, the author is on record as having discussed water wars in 1980, and should be credited with anticipating the relationship between natural resources, ethnic conflict, and great power discomfort well before the pack. He covers oil in particular, energy in more general terms (to my disappointment, not breaking natural gas out from oil, a very relevant distinction for commodities brokers), water, minerals, and timber. His footnotes are quite satisfactory and strike a very fine balance--unusually good--between policy, military, and academic or industry sources. Sadly, I believe that this book, as with Laurie Garrett's book on the collapse of public health, will be ignored by the ...Administration, which appears to have decided that real war is only between states, that energy is something to be increased, not moderated in use, and that real men do not concern themselves with ethnic conflict, small wars, or scarcity of any sort in the Third World. As I reflect on this book, and its deep discussion of the details of existing and potential resources wars (it includes a very fine illustrative appendix of oil and natural gas conflicts, all current), I contemplate both my disappointment that the author and publisher did not choose to do more with geospatial visualization--a fold out map of the world with all the points plotted in color would have been an extraordinary value--and the immediate potential value of adding the knowledge represented by this book on resources and the Garrett book on public health threats--to the World Conflict & Human Rights Map 2000 published by PIOOM at Leiden University in The Netherlands. What I really like about this book is its relevance, its authority, its utility. What I find frustrating about this book is that it is, like all books, an isolated fragment of knowledge that cannot easily be integrated and visualized. How helpful it would be, if US voters could see a geographic depiction of the world showing all that the author of this excellent work is trying to communicate, and on the same geographic depiction, see the military dollars versus the economic assistance dollars that the U.S. is or is not investing. The results would be shocking and could lead to political action as the community level, for what is clear to me from this book is that there is a huge disconnect between the real threat, our national security policies, and how we actually spend our foreign affairs, defense, and trade dollars from the taxpayers' pockets. A trillion dollar tax cut, or a trillion dollar investment in deterrence through investments in natural resource stabilization and extension? Which would be of more lasting value to the seventh generation of our children? The author does not comment--one is left to read between the lines.
Rating:
Summary: Book's message drowned out by recent events
Review: And it's a pity because Klare is on the right track with his analysis. Very early in the book he puts the issue into context. In a time of globalization with more and more countries industrializing, there is a concomitant increased demand for finite resources, which is exacerbated by growing populations.
To the extent that these resources are in unstable regions of the world, and many of them are, it poses a problem. The arguments about a convergence of resources, geography, and national self-interests seems to recall Europe of the last century and their "great game" of Middle Eastern conquests or their "Scramble for Africa." Some of the objectives are the same - oil and gems - but mostly the resources in question are simply essential to basic national existence - food and water. Klare's analysis is penetrating and supported with tables. His data seems to point to an inevitable conflict between Israel, Jordan, and Syria over the River Jordans' outflow. Similar population pressures impact the Nile, and Egypt's relations with its neighbors. In contrast to the plausible and much more likely scenarios as portrayed here, shallow arguments such as Samuel Huntington's CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS are enjoying post September 11th renewed sales. Huntington has seemingly identified the problem, but many persons recognize his analysis as superficial and too generalized and his clash was never originally about terrorism. More to the point is the type of collapsed-state, money-laundering financed type of conflicts involving diamonds which Klare identifies as taking place in Sierra Leone and Angola. Here we have an intersection of Western corporate interests, strategic resources and local political considerations. These "conflict diamonds" are a topic of broad discussion in Matthew Hart's recent DIAMOND: A JOURNEY INTO THE HEART OF AN OBSESSION. Here Klare sees them as illustrative of the type of resource over which future wars will be fought. In Klare's view they are more likely to live up to their other name - "blood diamonds". RESOURCE WARS is a wide ranging, carefully argued, and very plausible portrait of where future battles will be, and what they will be about.
Rating:
Summary: Klare offers a heads-up on things to come.
Review: As a graduate student in political science, specifically international relations, I found Klare's analysis of the potential for resource-based conflict to be compelling. His take on the great oil race going on in the Caspian Basin cuts through the typical corporate and government spin-doctoring to tell the reader what is actuall going on -- big-power politics under the guise of "economic development." Moreover, Klare's stark description of just how dependent the industrialized world is on these highly unstable, resource-rich states should be a warning for all policy-makers regardless of their political leanings. Finally, if one combines this book with Daniel Yergin's "The Prize", an in-depth history of the oil industry, and Robert Pelton's "The World's Most Dangerous Places", then one can quickly grasp the role that natural resouces, both in the past and present, has played in international relations.
Rating:
Summary: Klare offers a heads-up on things to come.
Review: As a graduate student in political science, specifically international relations, I found Klare's analysis of the potential for resource-based conflict to be compelling. His take on the great oil race going on in the Caspian Basin cuts through the typical corporate and government spin-doctoring to tell the reader what is actuall going on -- big-power politics under the guise of "economic development." Moreover, Klare's stark description of just how dependent the industrialized world is on these highly unstable, resource-rich states should be a warning for all policy-makers regardless of their political leanings. Finally, if one combines this book with Daniel Yergin's "The Prize", an in-depth history of the oil industry, and Robert Pelton's "The World's Most Dangerous Places", then one can quickly grasp the role that natural resouces, both in the past and present, has played in international relations.
Rating:
Summary: Possible Reserve of 265 billion barrels in Caspian Sea
Review: Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzebekistan statistically have 18 to 35 billion in proven reserves and the possible reserves of 235 billion barrels and 236 to 337 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. The Caspian Sea is appealing and the U.S is eager to reduce dependency on Persian Gulf oil. Under Secretary Zienstat told the U.S Senate Subcommittee, "the Caspian Sea is potentially one of the worlds most important new energy producing regions".
In 1997, oil production was 1.1 million barrels per day (mbd), by 2010 oil production is expected to 4.4 mbd, and by 2020 hitting 6 mbd. Companies flocking to gain development rights in the Caspian Sea include: Amoco, Chevron, Exxon, Mobile, and British Petroleum. Chevron invested $20 billion in a joint venture with the Kazakh government to develop the Tengiz oil field resulting in a firm known as Tengizchevroil and was later joined by Mobil who made a 25 percent purchase share in the consortium. Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) combined Tengizchevroil partners and Lukeoil of Russia to build a 900 mile oil pipeline costing $2.2 billion spanning from Tengiz to Novorossiysk. Russia would like the oil to pass through their region to capture some of the immense wealth being generated from the Caspian sea oil transports. The second pipeline spans from Baku in Azerbaijan to Supsa and was opened in 1999.
U.S - Russia tensions will be the result of power struggles. Russia's interest is to make sure a significant portion of Caspian Energy flows through Russian pipelines to the Black Sea and Europe. Russia has put pressure on Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan to send a significant share of oil through southern Russia to Novorossiysk. Tension in Chechnya and Dagestan from Muslim extremist revolts will destabilize oil through Russian regions.
Washington wants to develop the Caspian Basin energy as an alternate to the Persian Gulf and ensure Caspian oil and gas travel to markets in the west without passing through Russia and Iran. A new pipeline extending from Kazakhan and Turkmenstan to Azerbaijan under the Caspian Sea then to Georgia would meet these objectives. Another pipeline from Azerbaijan to Bushehr in the Persian Gulf is blocked by an executive order issued by President Clinton not allowing over $40 million U.S businesses ventures with Iran.
The U.S lacks a military presence in the region and a high intensity conflict is unlikely. However, the U.S aid between 1998-2000 for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan reached $1.06 billion of which $175 million for reigional security, arms transfers, and military training.
Rating:
Summary: Brilliant book
Review: It is amazingly good book, the best book of this sort. In very dynamic and in the meantime precise manner author addresses perhaps the most important, complicated and troubling political matter of nova times. My congratulations to author. Correspondent for Russian daily newspaper "Russian Courier" in the USA Sergey L. Lopatnikov
Rating:
Summary: Correct framework
Review: Klare does an excellent job in laying bare what is probably the single most important issue facing human society as a whole. With great clarity and objectivity, Klare presents the different resources, the problems at stake, and what different nations are
doing regarding them. He also gives what is the only true solution to the potential horror, while at the same time recognizing the needs of individual nations, and that is international cooperation. One can only hope this path is followed in the coming decades.
If you are looking for the correct framework to understand the
world's current structure and events, then this is the book for you.
Rating: 
Summary: Self-inflicted wounds
Review: Michael Klare, I would argue, has a better claim to being able to predict tomorrow's headlines than self-proclaimed "futurists" who absurdly forecast that computers are going to surpass human intelligence and take over the world in 30 years. That's assuming our civilization can still generate electricity reliably, of course, which I suspect will become increasingly problematic as the parts of the world with projectable militaries fight over the remaining fossil fuels supplies and waterways suitable for hydroelectric damming. Already North America faces the prospect of our pilot lights going out this winter because of a severe natural gas shortage, which portends even worse resource crises to come. I came away from this book feeling really bad about the human prospect. The neo-con junta running the U.S. thinks it can solve America's problems by occupying the oil reserves in Southwest Asia, without any Plan B for dealing with the oil supply's eventual exhaustion. Meanwhile, people in the less developed, dry countries of the Nile Valley, the Tigris-Euphrates region and the Indus River have been mindlessly pumping out babies for generations well in excess of their death rates, and now find themselves facing catastrophic water shortages. In many rain-forested tropical countries, corrupt dictators and warlords have been stripping out their natural resources to sell to Western companies so they can buy the guns and supplies they need to keep their soldiers' loyalty and stay in power. I found this last part of Klare's account especially striking in light of all the free-market propaganda about the wonders of globalization. Despite the fiction that trade requires noncoercive, mutually consensual transactions all along the line from the producer to the eventual consumer, in the real world the "producers" of many luxury goods like diamonds and fine tropical woods use armed force (including private military companies, which Klare names) to extract these resources at the expense of local populations who want to keep their environments intact because their traditional livelihoods depend on them. Once these goods enter the global market, however, whatever blood spilled in producing them conveniently falls down the memory hole. I would have given this book a 4-star rating, but Klare failed to show what's really going to happen if we don't deal with these resource problems rationally, especially the shrinking supplies of oil and gas. Since the Industrial Revolution we have been living on an artificial energy subsidy from fossil fuels that has allowed us to cheat environmental constraints on the human population by a factor of four to six. We face the likelihood of a massive Malthusian die-off once this subsidy is exhausted.
Rating:
Summary: Map of conflicts to come!
Review: Mr. Klare has written an excellent book about the conflicts to come in the future who will, to a large extent, be based on the scarcity of natural resources. Most would think of oil when discussing conflicts over resources but as Mr. Klare shows most conflicts will actually be spawned by such basic neccesities as water and arrable land. Furthermore, Mr. Klare gives a wonderful account of how natural resources, or rather the lack thereof, have caused havoc in Africa and Asia. It is a must read for anyone who wishes to understand the fundamentals behind conflict in the psot 9/11 world.
Rating:
Summary: Chilling glimpse of near future
Review: Out of oil by 2050, or 2040 , or 2080 and shortages long before then. Potable water.. scarce now and getting scarcer (one of the roots of the 67 Arab-Israeli War was water rights). The facts roll over the reader, dispassionate and almost mindnumbing in detail. Population growing far beyond any capacity to maintain (The population of Ethiopia in 1950 was 18 million, the projected population in 2050 will be 212 million!)Civil wars, wars by proxy, the depletion and devastation of irreplacable old growth forests, rainforests, whole fragile ecosystems gone in a decade. And these are facts....facts no reputable scientist will argue other then exactly WHEN the resources will be finally depleted. The feeling I got at the end of the book was that we are all 'fiddling' as our world starts to burn.
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