Rating:  Summary: excellent probabilty text Review: This is an excellently written text on probability theory that emphasizes the martingale approach. The treatment is softer than Neveu's "Discrete Parameter Martingales". Williams intends this book for third year undergraduates with good mathematical training as well as for graduate students.It provides all the classic results including the Strong Law of Large Numbers and the Three-Series Theorem using martingale techniques for the proofs. It includes many exercises that the author encourages the reader to go through. The author recommends the texts of Billingsley, Chow and Teicher, Chung, Kingman and Taylor, Laha and Rohatgi and Neveu's 1965 probability theory book for a more thorough treatment of the theory. Measure theory is at the heart of probability and Williams does not avoid it. Rather he embraces it and views probability as both a source of application for measure theory and a subject that enriches it. He covers the necessary measure theoretic groundwork. However, advanced courses in probability that require measure theory are usually easier to grasp if the student has had a previous mathematics course in measure theory. In the United States, this usually doesn't occur until the fourth year and measure theory is mostly taken by undergraduate mathematics majors. Sometimes it is taken by first year graduate students concurrent with or prior to a course in advanced probability. For these reasons I would advise most instructors to consider it mainly for a graduate course in probability for math or statistics majors. In the Preface, the author is quick to point out that probability is a subtle subject and honing one's intuition can be very important. He refers to Aldous' 1989 book as a source to help that process. I was disappointed that he didn't mention the two volumes on probability by Feller. Feller's books, particularly volume 2 with his treatment of the waiting time paradox, Benford's law and other puzzling problems in probability is a most stimulating source for appreciating the subtleties of probability, for honing one's intuition and for craving to learn more. It is a shame that Williams didn't mention it there. At some point Williams does refer to Feller's work but he only references volume 1.
Rating:  Summary: For the Probabilist who wants to travel light Review: This textbook is an introduction to the measure-theoretic theory of probability. The style is unconventional. There is humor here, together with hints and suggestions for the "working probabilist". The first part of the book is rather conventional and introduces the concepts of probability spaces, events, expectation, independence of events. The second part introduces discrete-parameter martingales. Many results are given a "martingale proof". Usually, proofs are elegant and concise (at the cost of not being super-rigorous). For example, existence of conditional expectation is proved using ortogonal projection in L^2 (very nice!). Exercises are interesting and mixed with the text. There are no typos, and the cost of the book is reasonable. I would advise my grandma to buy this book (if she were interested in probability).
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